.comment-link {margin-left:.6em;}

John Adams Blog

The blog of The Antient and Honourable John Adams Society, Minnesota's Conservative Debating Society www.johnadamssociety.org

Monday, January 09, 2006

Sunnis stuck on Stupid

From Strategy Page:

[A]ttacks are made deliberately, and it's difficult to be sure what the purpose is. Captured terrorists indicate the idea is to cause a civil war between Sunni Arabs and the Shia Arabs. But this makes no sense, as there are three times as many Shia Arabs, and there are as many Kurds as there are Sunni Arabs. Such a civil war would lead to catastrophe for the Sunni Arabs. But captured terrorists, most of them Sunni Arab zealots, believe that Sunni Arabs are actually the majority in the country.

I have heard this before, but it seems hard to believe: Here is more:

There hasn't been a census for decades, but the best estimates put the population at about 59 percent Shia Arab, 19 percent, 19 percent Kurd and a few percent other minorities (Turks, Chaldean Christians, and so on). The December 15th parliamentary elections ended up with people being elected in that proportion. Many Sunni Arabs, after they got over the shock of those results, accepted the fact that they are indeed a minority.

What a terrible awakening to know after you and all your relatives and all your relatives relatives voted that you only got 19%. Recall that famous 1970s New York liberal Pauline Kael who is reported to have said on the 1972 electoral victory of Richard Nixon over George McGovern: "How can that be? No one I know voted for Nixon!"

Blogger Harsh Pencil said...

I'm wondering to what extent the Sunnis in Iraq are comparable to Whites in the post-Civil War era in the South. That is, regardless of the fact that they are a minority, they believe they simply have a God given right to be the ones in charge and refuse to give up after losing a war. In effect, the KKK can be considered a terrorist insurgency, killing blacks which attempted to cooperate with the occupiers. Unfortunately, the North basically gave into them after Lincoln's death and this worked. They were in charge for another 100 years.

My guess is that the Shiites and Kurds are better armed, educated, trained and financed than blacks in the South, and things won't work out as well for the Sunnis in this case.

9:10 AM, January 10, 2006  

Post a Comment