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John Adams Blog

The blog of The Antient and Honourable John Adams Society, Minnesota's Conservative Debating Society www.johnadamssociety.org

Monday, October 31, 2005

Gang of 14

When the agreement between the seven squishy Republican Senators and seven "moderate" Democratic senators, the "Gang of 14", temporarily ended the judicial filibuster battle, I was dismayed about the language of the agreement. It said that the democratic members of the gang would forego filibusters except in "extraordinary circumstances." I was dismayed because the deal also said that it was each Senator who could decide for himself what was considered extraordinary. Oh how could the Republicans be such fools! (Much wailing and knashing of teeth.)

Then, back when it passed, not now, I read something that changed my mind. The power is essentially in the hands of the seven Republicans, not the seven Democrats. That is, regardless of what the Democrats say, if five of the seven Democrats filibuster, it is the Republicans that decide whether the bargain was in good faith or not. If they decide that there is nothing extraordinary about the Alito nomination (and there isn't) and any claim that it is extraordinary is disingenuous, then they are released from their pledge not to vote for the "nuclear-constitutional option."

This seems to be coming to pass. So far, both DeWine and Graham have come on record stating that this is no extraordinary circumstance. Assuming all the non-gang-of-14-Republicans are on board, that gives 50 votes for the nuclear-constitutional option, which with Cheney ensures its passage.

Prediction: attempt at filibuster fails when Democrats can't muster 40 votes.

Blogger Sloanasaurus said...

Where is Mr. Carpenter. I have been redeemed!

9:04 PM, October 31, 2005  
Blogger Sloanasaurus said...

I posted earlier this May that the gang of 14 agreement was a defeat for democrats because democrats needed 6 out of 7 moderate republicans to find the nominee extreme. That is nearly impossible.

9:14 PM, October 31, 2005  
Blogger Air Marshall said...

Why the deafening silence from SSC on this new nomination?

To big a mistake? Not big enough?

Not a mistake?

Too much balancing?

Not enough?

Inquiring minds want to know.

10:15 PM, October 31, 2005  
Blogger Sloanasaurus said...

SSC is still hoping for an anti-intellectual populist theocracy (is this a description of heaven?) Miers was the best and possibly last hope for this. Now that Miers is gone, the populist-theocrats can only hold their heads in shame.

7:52 AM, November 01, 2005  
Blogger Air Marshall said...

Perhaps Miers cn be revived for the next nomination so that he can have renewed hope. However, that WOULD be balancing.

9:00 AM, November 01, 2005  
Blogger Air Marshall said...

Speaking of the Gang of Fourteen, McCain was on Charlie Rose last night and was being quite supportive of Bush. I didn't watch all of it (can't handle much of Rose) but McCain was being so supportive that Rose was getting angry. What has happened? McCain get religion? Or does he just want people to talk nice about him when he is President?

9:13 AM, November 01, 2005  

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